The Teesta issue poses unique challenges to both India and Bangladesh. The growing involvement of China adds a geopolitical dimension to this problem
The Teesta issue poses unique challenges to both India and Bangladesh. The growing involvement of China adds a geopolitical dimension to this problem

Crossing currents: India-China contention and the Teesta conundrum in Bangladesh

Less than a month after the 12th Bangladesh parliamentary election, the Chinese ambassador to Bangladesh, Yao Wen, convened with the newly appointed Foreign Minister Hasan Mahmud on 28 January 2024. During the meeting, he invited Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to visit China to promote mutual understanding and enhance bilateral cooperation. 

While the invitation and its acceptance are both predictable given the robust relationship between the two countries, Beijing’s repeated articulation of its support in ‘opposing external interference in Bangladesh’, is noteworthy. Chinese Premiere Xi Jinping made its first iteration in the pre-election period when he vouched that China would stand by PM Hasina in resisting outside pressures, as the United States (US) continually imposed censures to ensure ‘democratic polls’. Since the past year, a marked disdain has become perceptible in US-Bangladesh relations over this issue, with Hasina calling out the US for human rights violations within its territory and the US expressing concern over irregularities in the Dhaka election. In such a scenario, speculations are increasing about China’s closer engagement with Bangladesh to fill a possible American vacuum, and the impact this will have on Dhaka’s ties with New Delhi.

Chinese Premiere Xi Jinping made its first iteration in the pre-election period when he vouched that China would stand by PM Hasina in resisting outside pressures, as the United States (US) continually imposed censures to ensure ‘democratic polls’.

In recent years, China’s assertive rise in the countries of South Asia has concerned India about Beijing’s growing influence in its neighbourhood. As the second-largest economy in South Asia, with a geographical position overlooking important shipping routes and substantial hydrocarbon reserves in the Bay of Bengal, Bangladesh is a coveted partner for China. For India, Bangladesh is important as its immediate eastern neighbour with which it shares the world’s fifth longest border. Consequently, India and China are proactively nurturing ties with Dhaka across domains and in the process contributing to its foreign revenue, on which the country relies primarily for its development and prosperity. China is Bangladesh’s largest trade partner, third-largest source of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and its second-largest provider of foreign aid. India, on the other hand, is Dhaka’s second-largest trading partner, is ranked among its top 10 sources of FDI, and is its third-largest contributor of bilateral foreign assistance from non-aid group countries. Foreign assistance to Bangladesh is essentially of three types: food aid, commodity aid, and project aid. Of these, the third category is the most popular amongst its developmental partners, as constructing the necessary infrastructure allows these countries to not only strengthen diplomatic linkages with Dhaka but also to tap into its considerable commercial, geopolitical, and resource potential. Thus, a major chunk of the assistance provided by the two Asian giants to Bangladesh is directed towards building development infrastructure.

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