France belongs in the Quad

The announcement last year of a security partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States to procure nuclear submarines sent shockwaves across the Indo-Pacific. AUKUS promises to transform America’s force posture in the region and build the foundations of an integrated strategy to respond to China’s rise as a military power. Yet from the outset AUKUS faced major criticism, not so much from China as from America’s oldest ally, France. Paris accused Washington of a ‘stab in the back’ after Australia ‘blindsided’ France with the unceremonious termination of a $60 billion contract with the French shipbuilder Naval Group to develop a fleet of diesel–electric submarines for the Royal Australian Navy. Since it was agreed in 2016, France had hailed the contract as a pillar of Paris’s defence engagement and enduring security commitment to the Indo-Pacific. Today, that robust strategic posture is in tatters. The loss of the contract and France’s overall exclusion from AUKUS demonstrated Europe’s increasingly marginal role in Asian security affairs. This is despite attempts by France and Germany to support freedom-of-navigation operations in defiance of China’s actions in the South China Sea. Were these manoeuvres not enough to convince Washington that the European Union offered a robust commitment to Asia? A careful study of France’s strategic interests reveals that the republic could never become the fully integrated military ally the US desires in the Indo-Pacific. Historically, modern France was torn between continental and maritime security responsibilities. Despite its attempts to form an overseas empire to rival Britain (which failed), France’s core security interests remained in Europe—and particularly after two world wars with the perennial threat of Germany. That experience taught France that it can’t rely on the UK, let alone the US, to maintain its security. The seas acted as a natural barrier for the Anglo-Saxon states not available to the Gallic French.

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